In an effort to develop an 'up-datable' student enrollment projection methodology, this subcommittee examined the details of the forecasting elements proposed in its work plan, and collaborated on the development of a short-term and long-term enrollment forecast.
For more information, please visit the LREFP home page or contact Katherine Carraway, Planning and Zoning, 703/746-3855.
Previous Meeting Materials
January 16, 2014 - 5th Meeting of the Enrollment Forecasts/Demographics Subcommittee
- Meeting Summary
- Audio File of Subcommittee Meeting
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Presentation on long range forecast
- Agenda
- Short- and Mid-Term Projections
- Draft Long-Term Enrollment Forecast Description
October 29, 2013 - 4th Meeting of the Enrollment Forecasts/Demographics Subcommittee
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Meeting Summary - Audio File of Subcommittee Meeting
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Subcommittee Overview Presentation -
Agenda -
Short-term Enrollment Projections -
Forecast Scenario 1_Sustained Growth -
Forecast Scenario 2_Weak Economy -
Births/Rates Summary -
Kindergarten Capture Rate Summary -
Cohort Survival Rate Summary -
Student Generation Rate Summary -
ACPS Enrollment History Graph -
Historic Regional Public School Enrollment Charts -
School Reputation Influence on Enrollment
September 11, 2013 - 3rd Meeting of the Enrollment Forecasts/Demographics Subcommittee
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Meeting Summary - Audio File of Subcommittee Meeting
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Agenda -
PowerPoint Presentation -
Summary of Findings and Research Plan Matrix (includes Enrollment Committee Work Plan) -
Market Affordability of Housing Stock (also included in PPT presentation PDF) -
New Student Address vs. Home Sale Address Analysis -
Cohort Survival by Student -
Enrollment Effects Diagram
July 18, 2013 - 2nd Meeting of the Enrollment Forecasts/Demographics Subcommittee
- Meeting Summary
- Agenda
- Enrollment Forecasts/Demographics Subcommittee Work Plan
- Housing Affordability as a Factor in Student Generation
- Historical Cohort Survival Rates Analysis
- Alexandria Birth Rate Trends
June 10, 2013 - 1st Meeting of the Enrollment Forecasts/Demographics Subcommittee