In an effort to develop an 'up-datable' student enrollment projection methodology, this subcommittee examined the details of the forecasting elements proposed in its work plan, and collaborated on the development of a short-term and long-term enrollment forecast.   

• Enrollment Forecasts Subcommittee Workplan - Phase I

For more information, please visit the LREFP home page or contact Katherine Carraway, Planning and Zoning, 703/746-3855. 

Previous Meeting Materials

January 16, 2014 - 5th Meeting of the Enrollment Forecasts/Demographics Subcommittee

• Meeting Summary
• Audio File of Subcommittee Meeting
• Presentation on long range forecast  
• Agenda  
• Short- and Mid-Term Projections  
• Draft Long-Term Enrollment Forecast Description  

October 29, 2013 - 4th Meeting of the Enrollment Forecasts/Demographics Subcommittee 

• Meeting Summary  
• Audio File of Subcommittee Meeting
• Subcommittee Overview Presentation   
• Agenda  
• Short-term Enrollment Projections  
• Forecast Scenario 1_Sustained Growth  
• Forecast Scenario 2_Weak Economy    
• Births/Rates Summary  
• Kindergarten Capture Rate Summary  
• Cohort Survival Rate Summary  
• Student Generation Rate Summary  
• ACPS Enrollment History Graph  
• Historic Regional Public School Enrollment Charts  
• School Reputation Influence on Enrollment  

September 11, 2013 - 3rd Meeting of the Enrollment Forecasts/Demographics Subcommittee

• Meeting Summary  
• Audio File of Subcommittee Meeting
• Agenda  
• PowerPoint Presentation  
• Summary of Findings and Research Plan Matrix (includes Enrollment Committee Work Plan)  
• Market Affordability of Housing Stock (also included in PPT presentation PDF)  
• New Student Address vs. Home Sale Address Analysis  
• Cohort Survival by Student  
• Enrollment Effects Diagram  

July 18, 2013 - 2nd Meeting of the Enrollment Forecasts/Demographics Subcommittee

• Meeting Summary
• Agenda
• Enrollment Forecasts/Demographics Subcommittee Work Plan
• Housing Affordability as a Factor in Student Generation
• Historical Cohort Survival Rates Analysis
• Alexandria Birth Rate Trends 

June 10, 2013 - 1st Meeting of the Enrollment Forecasts/Demographics Subcommittee

• Meeting Summary  
• Agenda  
• Expanded Agenda Items  
• Work Program , Outline and Schedule  
• Presentation